Winter home searching----best time to purchase?

Every year home buyers who begin their home search at the end of summer set goals to purchase before Thanksgiving or before Christmas. The goal of being settled in for the holidays becomes overwhelming with handling a house hunt, vacations, & holiday planning all bundled together. To top it off lenders are usually working with skeleton crews during the holidays so loans tend to take a bit longer to process. Even with all this in mind, Winter is the by far the best time to purchase a property, especially foreclosure property, for a number of reasons.

REASON ONE---LESS COMPETITION
Spring brings out all of the 'lookie-lou's' and the income tax refund buyers. Summertime brings out the relocating and families looking to find a new home before school starts. Fall is usually the left over crowd from summer and a few stragglers. With less buyers in the market you have less multiple offer situations and less showing activity on listings so sellers tend to get more motivated. Sellers who keep their homes on the market will see that buyers that are out in the winter are SERIOUS. They brave the elements in search of a new home and are more motivated to get things done by year end.

REASON TWO--YEAR END CLEARANCE
When it comes to short sales and foreclosures, the banks, asset managers, investors, and lenders have incentives to close out the books and every sale counts. Many lenders need to hit sales goals and will push some loans through, however, larger lenders seem to be the most affected by the holidays with shorter hours and vacations. Banks are looking to get stale assets off of their books and not carry these properties over into the new year. They can sense the slowing of the activity in the winter and don't want to hedge their bets on the next season's traffic increase.

REASON THREE--MOTIVATED SELLERS
As I mentioned earlier, sellers who still have homes on the market in the winter are not just testing the waters. They need to SELL! They too feel the pressure to close before year's end and will become more motivated as the activity decreases. All of the resales that were testing the market have taken their homes off the market for the holidays and will "see what happens in the Spring."

REASON FOUR--INDUSTRY SLOW DOWN UNCOVERS DEALS
As the housing market slows every winter, so do the home inspectors, interior designers, movers, & contractors. You can likely get discounts on these services due to the lack of work and get it done in a timely fashion!!!

REASON FIVE--INTEREST RATES
In four of the last years, interest rates have been lower in December than they were in the spring/summer months. Even with market crash of 07 and the bounce back of 2009 it has still been advantageous to purchase later in the year.

Lease Purchase / Lease Option / Rent to Own Pitfalls

PITFALLS OF A LEASE PURCHASE
A lease purchase used to be a great way to secure a property when a buyer is unable to immediately qualify for a loan, but would have the ability to do so in 6-12 months. The buyer makes a non-refundable down payment that is deducted from the sales price when they purchase the home and leases the property for a length of time needed for them to improve their chances to qualify for a mortgage loan. The #1 problem that occurs is usually the buyer not having a competent loan officer to assess the length of time needed to qualify. Second problem is usually something happening to the buyer during the lease term (loss of job, decrease in income, late payment, score not increasing as expected, loan qualifications changing) that causes them not to be able to qualify at the end of the contract causing them to lose their down payment. Life style changes (job relocation, school re-zoning, divorce, neighborhood decline) that make the home not as desirable are common, causing the buyer to not want to purchase the property at the end of the term. Another problem is maintenance & cost of ownership whereas a home requiring multiple repairs or higher utilities that the buyer isn't used to which causes the buyer to rethink wanting to purchase that particular property.

PITFALLS OF A LEASE OPTION
Lease options were very popular when the real estate market was experiencing huge annual increases in value. The buyer leases a property and deposits 'option' money in order to have the right to purchase the property at the end of the lease term for a set price. The problem with lease options in this market is that the sales price agreed on is usually more than what it will be worth at the end of the agreement. Declining values hurt both sides in this scenario.

PITFALLS OF A RENT-TO-OWN
Rent-to-own homes have remained popular in any market due to the appearance that a buyer could eventually own a home without qualifying for a mortgage loan. The most common problem with these is that the potential buyer never has a legitimate contract in place to purchase the property nor are they required to put in any substantial funds to secure the property if the seller has a better offer to purchase the property outright. Any seller with a mortgage in place is not a good candidate to do a rent-to-own from. Period. Likewise, a seller who is delinquent on a mortgage is not a good candidate as they will likely foreclose while the buyer is under the assumption that the mortgage is being paid. A seller who owns a house outright is not a good candidate either (surprisingly) unless a legitimate contract is in place that determines the total paid up front, the specific payment terms, interest rate, length of payments, and the total paid for the property. Ideally, if a buyer can get added to the deed it is the ideal situation. Owner financing is the best option for buyers who can't qualify, but understand that if you do not have the adequate cash to put into the deal to make it make sense or a legitimate contract in place, you will end up getting burned.

Days on Market----Does it Matter????

Buyers always want to know, "how long has that house been on the market?" Early in my career, I didn't think that it mattered, but I've learned that it depends on what type of market we're in, the type of property (resale, short sale, REO, HUD property), or the price point of a home to know the negative and adverse effects of how long a home has been on the market will affect it's sale price.

IN A SELLERS MARKET (Average of 90 days on the market or less)
- Resales tend to be priced above fair market value so a longer time on market usually means a less desirable property. This is a sign to the buyer that if the home has been on the market for a while that its either WAY overpriced or has obsolete/quirky features (see blog "What makes a home a BAD buy" ) that don't appeal to the masses.
- Foreclosures/REO's/HUD properties tend to be priced at fair market value or below and sell quickly so a newer listing will garner a lot of attention and drive the price up in some cases. Having a foreclosure with a lot of days on the market could mean numerous repairs needed that lender is unwilling to fix or a very undesirable area that not even price will lure buyers in.
- Short sales in a seller's market are usually priced very close to if not at retail and are on the market 3-6 months due to the lengthy short sale process. If a short sale is on the market over 6 months in a seller's market, this is a sign that the listing agent is not very efficient with the process or the seller's lender is being stubborn.

IN A BUYERS MARKET (180 days plus average days on market)
- Resales are usually priced at market value and above due to competition, but in our current market here in Atlanta, they are usually overpriced due to surrounding property values and the sellers owing more than what the home is currently worth. Seeing a 'stale' resale means that either the sellers are prime to explore doing a short sale, lease, or will withdraw the listing and wait until values rise.
- Foreclosures are priced VERY aggressively in a buyer's market so seeing a stale foreclosure will mean extensive repairs, title issues, or its grossly overpriced. Sometimes you may see a bank with overpriced foreclosures that will linger until the bank reduces the prices within reason. I see this quite often in the $250K+ range where lenders cannot fathom that these homes are now worth $80K-$100K less than they were originally purchased for in favorable neighborhoods.
- Short sales are pretty much priced like foreclosures in a buyer's market so seeing a stale one will either tell you that the current lender is wanting more money to satisfy the seller's loan obligation than the current market value will allow. More short sales go into foreclosure in a buyer's market because of the sticker shock from the seller's lender of the depreciated values.

LUXURY HOMES
Homes over $500K are no stranger to 180+ days on the market. Homes $1M+ are usually on the market at least a year only because the number of people that purchase these homes are in the minority of the group of home buyers in a market at any given time. Another reason these homes sit on the market longer are the aesthetics and loans available. Heavy customization make some homes EXTREMELY hard to sell (google Dean Gardens!) These discerning buyers have tastes of their own and may not want the expense of getting rid of the previous owner's bad decor. The ability/requirements to qualify also play a part in today's market as lender's require more down-payment along with the absence of attractive Jumbo Loan rates. However, the luxury home market continues to maintain steady growth due to these buyers not being as adversely affected with the current economic state and a steady influx of all cash buyers.

WHAT DOES THIS ALL MEAN?
To sum it all up,knowing the fair market value of a home cuts down to the chase as far as determining what to offer on a property. At the end of the day, no matter what a house is priced at, you should know how much is too much to pay and how low you can realistically bid and have a shot. If you (or your agent---heaven forbid!) don't have this information, you're just making guesses.